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Environmental Protection-Driven Production Restrictions Hit, Demand Weakens, Iron Ore Prices Fall Under Pressure [SMM Brief Comment]

iconDec 15, 2025 17:26

Today, the most-traded iron ore futures contract traded in the doldrums, with the most-traded contract I2605 closing at 753 yuan, down 0.92% from the previous trading day. Traders sold at market prices; steel mills purchased as needed, with moderate inquiry volume. Market transaction sentiment was average. In Shandong, the transaction price for PB fines was 770-775 yuan, down 5-10 yuan/mt WoW; in Hebei, the transaction price for PB fines was 785-790 yuan/mt, down 5-10 yuan/mt WoW.

According to SMM shipping data last week, global iron ore shipments totaled 35.87 million mt, up 2.57 million mt WoW, an increase of 7.7%. SMM China iron ore arrivals totaled 26.88 million mt, down 340,000 mt WoW, a slight decrease of 1.2%. Supply declined slightly, but the impact was limited. However, a new round of environmental protection-driven production restrictions hit northern regions, currently mainly targeting sintering machine restrictions, with some areas having steel mills conduct overhauls in coordination with environmental protection-driven production restrictions, or required to shut down furnaces. Affected by this, short-term iron ore demand is still declining, suppressing ore prices.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market exchanges, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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